As a person familiar with baseball handicapping it is important to not have a favorite team. Betting with your heart can be costly. But there is one team this season that as a handicapper you really can not help but take a liking to them.
Ask most handicappers what is their favorite team and they will tell you whatever team they have money on. Well that maybe true but what about a team that has a record over .500 and is consistently an attractive high paying underdog. Making it even better, out of the first 39 games this 2010 season this team was only a favorite twice. They have a ROI (Return on Investment) of 10.6 units. Is that any good? The team is the Washington Nationals of the National League East Division.
What I am saying that the Nationals have been listed as an underdog 37 out of 39 games this season yet they have a winning record. How can that be you may ask. If you would have bet $100 on the Nationals every game this season you would have a profit of $1060. Not bad since all you would have to do is just bet the Nationals nothing else considered. The general betting public is stuck thinking the Nationals are a lousy team with no talent. Sometime I wonder do some of these people even look at the standings.
To make things even more interesting, the Nationals this season while playing at home have won 58% of their games. 17 of those 19 home games the Nationals were listed and the underdog. Why people don’t realize this shows that the average person betting on a ballgame does not do the necessary research. Betting the Nationals at home as the underdog is very profitable this season yet very few betters seem to catch on.
Just the opposite is true about the Chicago Cubs. Many people think they are a contender and believe that the Cubs when home at Wrigley make a great bet. The fact is the Cubs are not good this season as usual. They are only winning 43% of their games yet they have been the favorite in 31 out 39 games this season. I know there are a lot of Cubs fans nationwide. They are on national television often either on Fox Network or WGN but you can see how the general public bets with the heart not with the facts.
The point is public perception of a ball club can be way off from reality. As a baseball handicapper you need to look past that and take advantage of it. Statistics and a proven baseball betting system is what makes a handicapper a sports betting champ. We need the system to keep us in line so we don’t bet routinely on teams like the Cubs or bet against the Nationals when playing at home. Follow the system and not public perception and you will profit.
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