It is still early in the 2010 season but we have had a full month of games. Looking back at the last 30 days I can see some trends have flourished. Now a good baseball handicapper is always looking for a trend or streak along with the usual baseball statistics to make an accurate prediction. Here is what I see so far.
I am always looking at betting totals and I see a few worth while trends in full swing. Let’s take a look at the Arizona Diamondbacks. Now this team can score runs. Out of their first 24 games this season, 17 games have gone over the total number making their record on over plays 17-6-1. That is 74% of their games have gone over. This record leads all baseball teams right now.
Let’s break that down some more. The Diamondback while at home, 8 of 12 games have gone over the total or 67%. A little less of a percentage than the stat on all games played but still good enough for second place in all of baseball. On the road as a visitor the Diamondbacks lead baseball with 9-2-1 record against the total number. That is an amazing 82% of the time the runs goes over while playing on the road.
We can break it down even further. The Diamondbacks versus right handed starting pitcher are 12-6 or 67% over the total for all games played. Now it gets better, against a starting left handed pitcher the record is 5-0-1 or 100% over the total number. The Diamondback are definitely a team that is prone to go over the total regardless who and where they play. However, the chances are greatest of going over when playing on the road versus a starting left handed pitcher. This based on all their games played up to May 2, 2010.
The Diamondback just finished a series with the Cubs at Wrigley Field and now are heading to Houston to play the Astros. Looking at the Astros starting pitchers, I can see Wandy Rodriguez is a left handed pitcher. Rodriguez is currently 1-4 over the total number. You see that 1-4 mark and think well Rodriguez pitches low scoring games. Not necessarily true, in his first two starts his team the Astros scored zero runs. Out of all five of his starts the Astros only scored 9 runs all while they allowed 22 runs in those 5 starts. Astros just are not hitting the ball right now and the Diamondbacks are hitting very well.
The Astros while playing at home are 6-8-1 against the total or 43%. The average total runs scored in Astros home games is 8.5 and the average runs score in Diamondbacks road games is 12.8. Needless to say I am anticipating the line posted on the total this week when Wandy Rodriquez gets the start. Minute Maid Park in Houston typical is a pitchers ballpark and the total scores are on the low side. So, I am only interested in betting the total over in this series when Rodriguez, a left handed pitcher gets the start. According the Astros website, Rodriquez is the probable starting pitcher, for Thursdays May 6th match up with the Diamondbacks
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